By: Monsoon Mike
Ok Ok Ok! Time for Monsoon Mike's Weather Headquarters to bring some reason into mass hysteria that seems to have broken out this afternoon on some of the competing weather boards. The excitement stems from the fact that the one holdout model on the storm has suddenly jumped on board with a major snowstorm for Thursday and because of that, Monsoon Headquarters hotlines have been bombarded with calls, messages, and texts this afternoon asking if I am on board. The answer is maybe, but not quite. (Don't you love how us weather gurus talk?) LOL
Seriously, the GFS coming on board today is convincing, however, let me say this loud and clear: WE ARE STILL THREE DAYS OUT. It seriously concerns me when there is model consensus three days out. There are at least 10+ more model runs before the snow even starts falling and as good weather prognosticators, we have to put computers aside sometimes and use reason. The lack of a pure blocking pattern STILL indicates to me that this WON'T be a huge event for us. 2 to 4 inches? 3 to 6? Sure. Quite possible. Huge snowstorm? Doubtful. Nevertheless, you know the old joke of the guy in the flood who ignored a rescue boat, rescue helicopter, etc. saying "God will take care of me" and then wound up dying and said to God "why didn't you take care of me" and God said "heck, I sent you a boat and a helicopter." LOL Well, along those lines, I can't ignore these quite convincing signs of a potential good snowstorm, so I am not ignoring them. I'm just being quite cautious at this point.
Talk to you again New Year's Eve!